Tomorrow`s networks will be about services and solutions. This is forcing vendors and service providers to look at the network in a new light. Has convergence finally arrived?Can anyone remember not having a network? It`s like trying to remember using a computer without a mouse – we know we did it, but it just seems ridiculous now.
It is this complete reliance on networking that is ironically putting the squeeze on networking companies. Most instances of the technology have become commoditised. Even Dell is getting into the game – a sure sign if ever there was one that buying a network is on the same level as buying a new PC. The only decisions left to the consumer should be how fast it needs to be, and which vendor to choose. The vendor choice is the less important of those two factors, and can be made through brand loyalty or flipping a coin, with equal results.
Sure, there are still arguments about whether so-and-so`s switch offers a slightly higher throughput, or if the management software requires a certified engineer to operate (this is positioned as a positive or negative sales point, depending on the vendor`s immediate availability of certified engineers), but the kit is all the same. If one vendor is offering 802.11g wireless, they all are.
It`s true that a commoditised market typically puts a great deal of pressure on vendors, often leading to price wars, technology one-upmanship and industry-wide consolidation. Yet the networking vendors all still seem upbeat about the coming year.
While revenue per port has certainly dropped since 1999, eating into those fat profit margins of yesteryear, 2004 is being touted as the upswing year, with number of ports sold in South Africa expected to grow well – perhaps even dramatically well. But the bigger driver for a renewed interest in networking, from enterprises through to SMEs, is expected to come from a different vendor tack. Don`t buy a network, they`re saying. Buy a service.
Networking chefs
It`s the difference between buying a stove and pot or going out to a restaurant every night. The stove and pot solution – buying a router here, a switch there – doesn`t necessarily make a good meal. Businesses have had to create and purchase their own services to run over their infrastructure, making the market particularly products-based. A restaurant, by comparison, is a solution. You never see the pot or stove, or even the chef, but gastronomic delights nevertheless miraculously appear before you.
“I believe there is a revolution coming in 2004, on a similar standard of Microsoft moving from Windows 3.1 to Windows 95,” says Rob Sussman, MD of Intergr8 IT. “I believe the industry is going to see that change – specifically the outsourcing and managed servicing industries. You`re no longer going to have managed networking, but instead managed services. You`ll have pro-active remote management of remote software.”
The three big sellers for networking in 2004 are expected to be voice, security and wireless. Voice technology has matured substantially, making it both affordable and reliable for enterprises wanting to shave costs from inter-branch communications. While the legality of voice still remains uncertain, vendors and customers alike are now much more open about using voice over the network internally, and even government is getting on the bandwagon.
Unisys has just closed a R12 million deal with Ekurhuleni, the amalgamation of nine Gauteng metropolitan councils, for a Cisco-based voice network between the branches of the network.
A total of 500 IP phones and an additional 1 000 analogue devices will be deployed across all nine regions as part of the implementation, and the Ekurhuleni WAN will be voice over IP-enabled (VoIP) so that voice calls can be routed across the infrastructure. Apart from the cost cutting implications of this move, Ekurhuleni customers should benefit since their calls can be routed to the correct person regardless of which branch the contact might be in at the time.
“At present, these nine separate administrations make it difficult to report on the systems, and accountability cannot be properly assigned in the event of problems,” says Shadrack Ngwenya, Ekurhuleni operations director. “The new system will cure both issues, and give us a boost in productivity at the same time.”
Get moving
Wireless is a definite bet for 2004, with the technology improving in leaps and bounds. 802.11g – the wireless protocol operating at speeds of up to 54 megabits per second (mbps) – was vetted by the Independent Communications Authority of South Africa (Icasa) late last year as a legal communications medium, finally offering reasonable speed over WiFi.
Research house Gartner reckons that by 2005, 50 percent of companies will have some form of wireless local area network (WLAN) up and running. Vendors are falling over themselves to cater to this growing market, with everyone from D-Link through to HP offering WiFi devices. Many of the devices support 802.11a, b and g, making interoperability – and hence mobility – fairly simple despite the fast pace of emerging wireless standards.
The ever-growing number of “hotspots”, where users can plug into the Internet through third-party infrastructures, is making wireless even more attractive. The argument by Telkom that hotspots are illegal was quashed October last year by Icasa, paving the way for a potential mass roll out of easy Internet access throughout malls, hotels and airports in South Africa.
Wireless networking is a risk, however. Insecure wireless networks are easily located and hacked through a technique called “war driving”. Simply take a laptop, a boosted WiFi antenna, and a car, and drive around Sandton or Midrand to find wireless networks that are “leaking” beyond a company`s premises. From here, browse the Internet for free, break into the company`s network, or even hack other companies – the source of the attack will appear to be the company whose bandwidth you are stealing for the attack.
“We`re seeing a trend towards wireless which opens up threat of remote hackers. It`s no longer a matter of trying to secure the network in the building, you also have to look outside the building,” says Intergr8 IT`s Sussman.
As a result, wireless networking and security should go hand-in-hand. Anyone foolish enough not to put a firewall between a wireless device and the network is courting disaster. It`s the equivalent of leaving your company secrets in boxes on the street and hoping that no-one picks them up.
No entry
Unlike voice and wireless, security isn`t being driven by technology, but rather customer demand. The Absa saga last year certainly lit a fire among users not wanting to lose money or reputation to online hoodlums.
“Security is a big requirement – specifically after what happened to Absa Bank,” says Chris van Niekerk, country manager, 3Com. “I honestly believe security is very important to our customer base, particularly in the financial and government sectors, and among the larger corporates.”
3Com`s agreement with security company Crossbeam has resulted in specific security products in the 6000 range, and all vendors are following suite. HP has released its ProCurve Access Controllers, and Cisco is pushing its virtual private network (VPN) products for their security capabilities, along with a concept it calls the “Cisco self-defending network initiative”, designed to “identify, prevent and adapt to a range of security threats”, according to the networking leader.
Security is certainly where the money is: According to the Meta Group`s 2004 Worldwide IT Benchmark Report, ”66 percent of surveyed companies made room in their 2003 IT budgets to dedicate more financial resources to security programs and little else.” The report found companies spent an average of 8.2 percent of their total IT budgets on security in 2003, up from 7.6 percent in 2002 and only 3.2 percent in 2001.
More than access alone
The call for security could have a knock-on effect for the ISP market, which is facing a similar problem to network vendors – commoditisation. UUNet`s Jeff Fletcher believes that VPNs over the Internet (often referred to as “tunnelling”) will become increasingly popular this year, as it provides almost as much security as a wide area network (WAN), without the associated high costs.
Fletcher is also betting on services to continue to drive his market, as lower-end players start to compete seriously on price. “Bandwidth and access has become commoditised. The second-tier ISPs are coming in and cutting the costs significantly. Telkom, Sentech and the SNO are doing this as well, which means that we`ve either got to fight over price or move up the value chain.”
UUNet has decided to go up the value chain by providing applications, ASP-style. These include a hosted mail service based on Exchange 2003, a scanning and digitisation service, and video conferencing over IP. The recent availability of broadband in the country, through ADSL and similar technologies, means the bandwidth is finally available for hosted applications.
Fletcher predicts a “renewed surge” in Internet access, both in South Africa and globally. “It`s a global thing – this year is the year for the re-growth of the Internet. Property values are going up in Silicon Valley.”
World Wide Worx`s annual study of the South African Internet access industry, The Goldstuck Report: Internet Access in South Africa 2004, echoed these optimistic sentiments by declaring an expected “kick-start in 2004”. The upswing will be due to more access options, according to Goldstuck, such as the expected SNO offering and Sentech`s MyWireless. “From having no choice at all, the South African market will suddenly be faced with two new players who are both eager to supply Internet access needs,” says Goldstuck.
“From the point of view of ISPs, the landscape is changing drastically, which means that it`s levelling the playing field,” believes Fletcher. “The size of the infrastructure is not as important as how we market it. We need to be able to change to face the challenge – it`s interesting times if nothing else.”
The ISP market may change so much that we hardly recognise it in the future. “It may eventually get to the point where we don`t sell access, we sell services. For instance, with our hosted Exchange offering, we sell connectivity ‘included`,” says Fletcher.
Complexity
With the increased security, more physical layers, and a host of new services now demanded of the network, networking complexity is increasing by orders of magnitude. Figuring out what is mature enough for a live environment, and what is just hype, is a tricky job for CIOs.
“Organisations need to be aware of the potential drawbacks of convergence,” says Gerhard Gouws, divisional director, Datacentrix. “Prior to the maturation of convergence technologies, many organisations have had to invest heavily in separate telephone, data, video and video conferencing networks and are now finding that these networks are not evolved enough to provide the bandwidth necessary for convergence.”
Despite this, he says, it`s still an easy boardroom sell. “For most IT managers, trying to convince management to invest in new technology in these economic times is near impossible, with IT projects having to business processes strategies, but also provide quick returns. Network convergence can deliver both. Once implemented, a multi-service network can offer remarkable benefits to a business.”
While a converged network does offer some exciting possibilities in terms of cost reduction and centralised administration, it also brings with it a new way of thinking about the network. Fortunately, many of the pieces required for multiple services to operate on the same pipe are already in place, mostly under the broad term “quality of service”, or QoS. Managing all of these services, however, could be a little more complex in the real world than it is on paper.
Once again we get back to the restaurant argument. Services companies are betting that most companies will rely on a third party to remotely administer the network – a Mr Delivery, if you like.
UUNet is looking at how to change its network for the demands that extra services will place on it – primarily how to get content out to the nodes effectively. “It`s not only correct routing anymore,” says Fletcher.
Intergr8 IT is extending its service level agreement model to a point where it doesn`t only offer uptime guarantees, but also looks down to the infrastructure layer and up to the services for its customers.
Whether corporates will let go of their precious networks – often seen as business advantages – to services providers remains to be seen. But the SMMEs will certainly see the benefits of all these great network services on offer by third parties. As a major growth area for IT, the SMMEs have been identified as a definite target for the service providers, and with the ASP-type model, they can now afford to run financial and security applications just like the big boys.
“If you look at the IT giants, they used to focus only on the small top percentage of the market – the big spenders. But today the SME market itself is able to take advantage of the large systems that previously only the large enterprise could afford. From an opportunity point of view, the SME market is wide open. The large guys are finding it difficult to focus on that market,” says Sussman.
The shift in the networking world seems to be benefiting everyone. Buying services over equipment has been preached for quite some time, but only now are we starting to see the technology catch up with the hype.